На краю пропасти. Экзистенциальный риск и будущее человечества - Тоби Орд
Шрифт:
Интервал:
Закладка:
Rhodes, C. J., and Anderson, R. M. (1996). ‘Power Laws Governing Epidemics in Isolated Populations’. Nature, 381 (6583), 600–602.
Rhodes, R. (1986). The Making of the Atomic Bomb. Simon and Schuster.
Rhodes, R. (1995). Dark Sun: The Making of the Hydrogen Bomb. Simon and Schuster.
Riess, A. G., et al. (1998). ‘Observational Evidence from Supernovae for an Accelerating Universe and a Cosmological Constant’. The Astronomical Journal, 116 (3), 1009–1038.
Risø (1970). Project Crested Ice. A Joint Danish-American Report on the Crash near Thule Air Base on 21 January 1968 of a B-52 Bomber Carrying Nuclear Weapons (Report No. 213). Forskningscenter Risø, Atomenergikommissionen.
Ritchie, H., and Roser, M. (2019). CO2 and Other Greenhouse Gas Emissions. Our World in Data. https://ourworldindata.org/co2-and-other-greenhouse-gas-emissions
Roberts, Paul. (2004). The End of Oil. Bloomsbury.
Roberts, Priscilla. (2012). Cuban Missile Crisis: The Essential Reference Guide. Abc-clio.
Robock, A., et al. (2009). ‘Did the Toba Volcanic Eruption of ~74 ka B. P. Produce Widespread Glaciation?’ Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 114 (D10).
Robock, A., Oman, L., and Stenchikov, G. L. (2007). ‘Nuclear Winter Revisited with a Modern Climate Model and Current Nuclear Arsenals: Still Catastrophic Consequences’. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 112 (D13).
Robock, A., et al. (2007). ‘Climatic Consequences of Regional Nuclear Conflicts’. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 7 (8), 2003–2012.
Rogelj, J., et al. (2016). ‘Differences between Carbon Budget Estimates Unravelled’. Nature Climate Change, 6 (3), 245–252.
Roser, M. (2015). The Short History of Global Living Conditions and Why It Matters that We Know It. https://ourworldindata.org/a-history-of-global-living-conditions-in-5-charts
Roser, M., and Ortiz-Ospina, E. (2019a). Global Extreme Poverty: Our World in Data. https://ourworldindata.org/extreme-poverty.
Roser, M., and Ortiz-Ospina, E. (2019b). Literacy: Our World in Data. https://ourworldindata.org/literacy.
Roser, M., and Ortiz-Ospina, E. (2019). World Population Growth: Our World in Data. https://ourworldindata.org/world-population-growth.
Rougier, J., Sparks, R. S. J., Cashman, K. V., and Brown, S. K. (2018). ‘The Global Magnitude – Frequency Relationship for Large Explosive Volcanic Eruptions’. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 482, 621–629.
Rowe, T., and Beard, S. (2018). ‘Probabilities, Methodologies and the Evidence Base in Existential Risk Assessments’ [working paper].
Rushby, A. J., et al. (2018). ‘Long-Term Planetary Habitability and the Carbonate-Silicate Cycle’. Astrobiology, 18 (5), 469–480.
Russell, B. (18 August 1945). ‘The Bomb and Civilisation’. Forward.
Russell, B. (March 1951). ‘The Future of Man’. The Atlantic.
Russell, B. (2002). ‘1955 address to the world’s press assembled in London: The Russell-Einstein Manifesto’, in K. Coates, J. Rotblat, and N. Chomsky (eds), The Russell-Einstein Manifesto: Fifty Years On (Albert Einstein, Bertrand Russell, Manifesto 50). Spokesman Books.
Russell, B. (2009). Autobiography. Taylor and Francis.
Russell, B. (2012). ‘Letter to Einstein, 11 February 1955’, in K. Coates, J. Rotblat, and N. Chomsky (eds), The Russell-Einstein Manifesto: Fifty Years On (Albert Einstein, Bertrand Russell, Manifesto 50) (pp. 29–30). Spokesman Books.
Russell, S. (2014). Of Myths And Moonshine. https://www.edge.org/conversation/the-myth-of-ai#26015
Russell, S. (2015). Will They Make Us Better People? https://www.edge.org/response-detail/26157
Russell, S. (2019). Human Compatible: AI and the Problem of Control. Allen Lane.
Russell, S., Dewey, D., and Tegmark, M. (2015). ‘Research Priorities for Robust and Beneficial Artificial Intelligence’. AI Magazine, 36 (4).
SAC (1969). ‘Project CRESTED ICE: The Thule Nuclear Accident (U)’, SAC Historical Study #113. Strategic Air Command.
Sagan, C. (1980). Cosmos (1st ed.). Random House. [Саган К. Космос. Эволюция Вселенной, жизни и цивилизации. СПб.: Амфора, 2015. Перевод А. Сергеева.]
Sagan, C. (1983). ‘Nuclear War and Climatic Catastrophe: Some Policy Implications’. Foreign Affairs, 62 (2).
Sagan, C. (1994). Pale Blue Dot: A Vision of the Human Future in Space. Random House. [Саган К. Голубая точка. Космическое будущее человечества. М.: Альпина нон-фикшн, 2021. Перевод О. Сивченко.]
Sagan, C., et al. (14 December 1980). Cosmos: A Personal Voyage – Episode 12: Encyclopaedia Galactica [TV Series]. PBS.
Sagan, C., and Ostro, S. J. (1994). ‘Dangers of Asteroid Deflection’. Nature, 368 (6471), 501.
Sandberg, A. (n. d.). Dyson Sphere FAQ. https://www.aleph.se/Nada/dysonFAQ.html
Sandberg, A., Drexler, E., and Ord, T. (2018). ‘Dissolving the Fermi Paradox’. ArXiv, http://arxiv.org/abs/1806.02404
Schaefer, K., et al. (2014). ‘The Impact of the Permafrost Carbon Feedback on Global Climate’. Environmental Research Letters, 9 (8), 085003, pp. 1–9.
Scheffler, S. (2009). ‘Immigration and the Significance of Culture’, in N. Holtug, K. Lippert-Rasmussen, and S. Lægaard (eds), Nationalism and Multiculturalism in a World of Immigration (pp. 119–150). Palgrave Macmillan UK.
Scheffler, S. (2018). Why Worry About Future Generations? in Uehiro Series in Practical Ethics. Oxford University Press.
Schell, J. (1982). The Fate of the Earth. Avon.
Schell, J. (14 June 2007). ‘The Spirit of June 12’. The Nation.
Schindewolf, O. H. (1954). ‘Über die möglichen Ursachen der grossen erdgeschichtlichen Faunenschnitte’. Neues Jahrbuch für Geologie und Paläontologie, Monatshefte, 1954, 457–465.
Schirrmeister, B. E., Antonelli, A., and Bagheri, H. C. (2011). ‘The Origin of Multicellularity in Cyanobacteria’. BMC Evolutionary Biology, 11 (1), 45.
Schlosser, E. (2013). Command and Control: Nuclear Weapons, the Damascus Accident, and the Illusion of Safety. Penguin.
Schneider, E., and Sachde, D. (2013). ‘The Cost of Recovering Uranium from Seawater by a Braided Polymer Adsorbent System’. Science and Global Security, 21 (2), 134–163.
Schneider von Deimling, T., Ganopolski, A., Held, H., and Rahmstorf, S. (2006). ‘How Cold Was the Last Glacial Maximum?’ Geophysical Research Letters, 33 (14).
Schröder, K.-P., and Connon Smith, R. (2008). ‘Distant Future of the Sun and Earth Revisited’. Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, 386 (1), 155–163.
Schulte, P., et al. (2010). ‘The Chicxulub Asteroid Impact and Mass Extinction at the Cretaceous-Paleogene Boundary’. Science, 327 (5970), 1214–1218.
Seneca, L. A. (1972). Natural Questions, vol. II (trans. T. H. Corcoran). Harvard University Press. [Сенека Л. О природе // Философские трактаты. СПб.: Алетейя, 2001. [Сенека Л. О природе // Философские трактаты. СПб.: Алетейя, 2001. Перевод Т. Бородай.]
Serber, R. (1992). The Los Alamos Primer: The First Lectures on How to Build an Atomic Bomb. University of California Press.
Shapira, P., and Kwon, S. (2018). ‘Synthetic Biology Research and Innovation Profile 2018: Publications and Patents’. BioRxiv, 485 805.
Shelley, M. W. (1826). The Last