Категории
Самые читаемые
onlinekniga.com » Бизнес » Экономика » Черный лебедь. Под знаком непредсказуемости - Нассим Талеб

Черный лебедь. Под знаком непредсказуемости - Нассим Талеб

Читать онлайн Черный лебедь. Под знаком непредсказуемости - Нассим Талеб

Шрифт:

-
+

Интервал:

-
+

Закладка:

Сделать
Перейти на страницу:

G. Hempel Dordrecht:D.Reidel. Rabin,M.,1998,"PsychologyandEconomics."Journal of Economic

Literature 36:11-46. Rabin,M.,andR.H.Thaler,2001,"Anomalies:RiskAversion."Journal

of Economic Perspectives 15(1):219-232. Rabin,Matthew,2000,"InferencebyBelieversintheLawofSmall •Numbers."WorkingPaper,EconomicsDepartment,University

ofCalifornia,Berkeley,http://repositories.cdlib.org/iber/

econ/.

Ramachandran,V.S.,2003,The Emerging Mind. London:Portfolio. Ramachandran,V.S.,andS.Blakeslee,1998,Phantoms in the Brain.

NewYork:Morrow. RANCieRE,Jacques,1997,Les mots de Yhistoire. Essai de poetique du

savoir. Paris:EditionsduSeuil. Ratey,JohnJ.,2001,A User's Guide to the Brain: Perception, Attention

and the Four Theaters of the Brain. NewYork:Pantheon. Rawls,John,1971,A Theory of Justice. Cambridge,Mass.:Harvard

UniversityPress.

Reboul,Anne,2006,"SimilaritiesandDifferencesBetweenHuman

andNonhumanCausalCognition."InterdisciplinesConferenceon

Causality,www.interdisciplines.org. Redner,S.,1998,"HowPopularIsYourPaper?AnEmpiricalStudy

oftheCitationDistribution."European Physical Journal В 4:131-

134.

Rees,Martin,2004,Our Final Century: Will Civilization Survive the

Twenty-first Century? London:ArrowBooks. Reichenbach,H.,1938,Experience and prediction. Chicago:The

UniversityofChicagoPress. Remus,W.,M.OaposConnor,andK.Griggs,1997,"DoesFeedback

ImprovetheAccuracyofRecurrentJudgmentalForecasts?"

ProceedingsoftheThirtiethHawaiiInternationalConferenceon

SystemSciences,January7-10:5-6. Rescher,Nicholas,1995,Luck: The Brilliant Randomness of Everyday

Life. NewYork:Farrar,Straus&Giroux.

,2001,Paradoxes: Their Roots, Range, and Resolution. Chicago:

OpenCourtBooks.

Richardson,L.F.,i960,Statistics of Deadly Quarrels. PacificGrove,

Calif.:BoxwoodPress. Rips,L.,2001,"NecessityandNaturalCategories."Psychological Bulletin

127:827-852.

Roberts,RoystonM.,1989,Serendipity: Accidental Discoveries in Science.

NewYork:Wiley.

Robins,RichardW.,2005,"Psychology:TheNatureofPersonality: Genes,Culture,andNationalCharacter."Science 310:62-63.

Rollet,Laurent,2005,Un mathematicien au Pantheon? Autour de la mort de Henri Poincare. LaboratoiredePhilosophicetd'Histoiredes Sciences—ArchivesHenri-Poincare,UniversiteNancy2.

Ronis,D.L.,andJ.F.Yates,1987,"ComponentsofProbabilityJudgment Accuracy:IndividualConsistencyandEffectsofSubjectMatterand AssessmentMethod."Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 40:193-218.

Rosch,E.,1978,"PrinciplesofCategorization."InE.RoschandВ.B. Lloyd,eds.,Cognition and Categorization. Hillsdale,N.J.:Lawrence Erlbaum.

Rosch,E.H.,1973,"NaturalCategories."Cognitive Psychology 4:328-350. Rose,Steven,2003,The Making of Memory: From Molecules to Mind,

reviseded.NewYork:Vintage. Rosen,S.,1981,"TheEconomicsofSuperstars."American Economic

Review 71:845-858. Rosenzweig,Phil,2006,The Halo Effect and Other Business Delusions:

Why Experts Are So Often Wrong and What Wise Managers Must Know.

NewYork:TheFreePress. Ross,StephenA.,2004,Neoclassical Finance. Princeton,N.J.:Princeton

UniversityPress.

Rounding,Virginia,2006,Catherine the Great: Love, Sex and Power.

London:Hutchinson.

Ruelle,David,1991,Hasard et chaos. Paris:OdileJacob. RuFFie,Jacques,1977,De la biologie ala culture. Paris:Flammarion. Russell,Bertrand,1912,The Problems of Philosophy. NewYork:Oxford

UniversityPress.

,1993,My Philosophical Development. London:Routledge.

,1996,Sceptical Essays. London:Routledge.

Russo,J.Edward,andPaulJ.H.Schoernaker,1992,"ManagingOver-confidence."Sloan Management Review 33(2):7-17.

Ryle,Gilbert,1949,The Concept of Mind. Chicago:TheUniversityof ChicagoPress.

Salganik,MatthewJ.,PeterS.Dodds,andDuncanJ.Watts,2006,

"ExperimentalStudyofInequalityandUnpredictabilityinanArtificial

CulturalMarket."Science 311:854-856. Samuelson,PaulA.,1983,Foundations ofEconomic Analysis. Cambridge,

Mass.:HarvardUniversityPress. Sapolsky,RobertM.,1998,Why Zebras Don't Get Ulcers: An Updated

Guide to Stress, Stress-related Diseases, and Coping. NewYork:

W.H.FreemanandCompany. Sapolsky,Robert,M.,andtheDepartmentofNeurologyand

NeurologicalSciences,StanfordUniversitySchoolofMedicine,2003,

"GlucocorticoidsandHippocampalAtrophyinNeuropsychiatric

Disorders."

Savage,LeonardJ.,1972,The Foundations of Statistics. NewYork:Dover. Schacter,DanielL.,2001,The Seven Sins of Memory: How the Mind

Forgets and Remembers. Boston:HoughtonMifflin. Schelling,Thomas,1971,"DynamicModelsofSegregation."Journal of

Mathematical Sociology 1:143-186.

,1978,Micromotives and Macrobehavior. NewYork:W.W.Norton

andCompany.

Scheps,Ruth,ed.,1996,Les sciences de la prevision. Paris:EditionsduSeuil. Schroeder,Manfred,1991,Fractals, Chaos, Power Laws: Minutes from

an Infinite Paradise. NewYork:W.H.FreemanandCompany. Schumpeter,Joseph,1942,Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy. New

York:Harper.

Seglen,P.O.,1992,"TheSkewnessofScience."Journal of the American

Society for Information Science 43:628-638. SextusEmpiricus,2000,Outline of Scepticism, editedbyJuliaAnnas

andJonathanBarnes.NewYork:CambridgeUniversityPress.

,2005,Against the Logicians, translatedandeditedbyRichard

Bett.NewYork:CambridgeUniversityPress. Shackle,G.L.S.,1961,Decision Order and Time in Human Affairs.

Cambridge:CambridgeUniversityPress.

,1973,Epistemics and Economics: A Critique of Economic Doctrines.

Cambridge:CambridgeUniversityPress.

Shanteau,J., 1992,"Competence in Experts: The Role of Task

Characteristics." Organizational Behavior and Human Decision

Processes 53:252-266. Sharpe,William R, 1994,"The Sharpe Ratio." Journal of Portfolio

Management 21(1):49-58.

,1996,"Mutual Fund Performance." Journal of Business 39:119-138.

Shiller,Robert J., 1981,"Do Stock Prices Move Too Much to Be Justified

by Subsequent Changes in Dividends?" American Economic Review

71(3):421-436.

,1989,Market Volatility. Cambridge, Mass.: The MIT Press. —

,1990,"Market Volatility and Investor Behavior." American

Economic Review 80(2):58-62.

>1995,"Conversation, Information, and Herd Behavior." American

Economic Review 85(2):181-185.J-

,2000,Irrational Exuberance. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton

University Press.

,2003,The New Financial Order: Risk in the 21stCentury.

Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press. Shizgal,Peter, 1999,"On the Neural Computation of Utility: Implications

from Studies of Brain Simulation Rewards." In D. Kahneman,

E. Diener, and N. Schwarz, eds., 1999. Sieff,E. M., R. M. Dawes, and G. Loewenstein, 1999,"Anticipated Versus

Actual Reaction to HIV Test Results." American Journal of Psychology

122:297-311.

Silverberg,Gerald, and Bart Verspagen, 2004,"The Size Distribution of Innovations Revisited: An Application of Extreme Value Statistics to Citation and Value Measures of Patent Significance," http://edocs. ub.unimaas.nl/loader/file.asp?id=93i.

,2005,"Self-organization of R&D Search in Complex Technology

Spaces", http://www.springerlink.com/content/j277q59458513067/ fulltext.pdf.

Simon,Herbert A., 1955,"On a Class of Skew Distribution Functions."

Biometrika 42:425-440.

,1987,"Behavioral Economics." In J. Eatwell, M. Milgate, and

P. Newman, eds., 1987. Simonton,Dean Keith, 1999,Origins of Genius: Darwinian Perspectives

on Creativity. New York: Oxford University Press.

,2004,Creativity. NewYork:CambridgeUniversityPress.

Sloman,S.A.,1993,"FeatureBasedInduction."Cognitive Psychology 25:231-280.

,1994,"WhenExplanationsCompete:TheRoleofExplanatory

CoherenceonJudgmentsofLikelihood."Cognition 52:1-21.

,1996,"TheEmpiricalCaseforTwoSystemsofReasoning."Psy-

chological Bulletin 119:3-22.

,1998,"CategoricalInferenceIsNotaTree:TheMythof

InheritanceHierarchies."Cognitive Psychology 35:1-33.

,2002,"TwoSystemsofReasoning."InT.Gilovich,D.Griffin,

andD.Kahneman,eds.,2002.

Sloman,S.А.,В.C.Love,andW.Ann,1998,"FeatureCentralityand

!чConceptualCoherence."Cognitive Science 22:189-228.

Sloman,S.A.,andВ.C.Malt,2003,"ArtifactsAreNotAscribedEssences, NorAreTheyTreatedasBelongingtoKinds."Language and Cognitive Processes 18:563-582.

Sloman,S.A.,andD.Over,2003,"ProbabilityJudgmentfromtheInside andOut."InD.Over,ed.,Evolution and the Psychology of Thinking: ~ The Debate. NewYork:PsychologyPress.

Sloman,S.A.,andL.J.Rips,1998,"SimilarityasanExplanatory Construct."Cognition 65:87-101.

Slovic,Paul,M.Finucane,E.Peters,andD.G.MacGregor,2003a, "RationalActorsorRationalFools?ImplicationsoftheAffectHeuristic

:forBehavioralEconomics."WorkingPaper,www.decisionresearch.

им com.

-,2003b,"RiskasAnalysis,RiskasFeelings:SomeThoughts

AboutAffect,Reason,Risk,andRationality."Paperpresentedatthe

AnnualMeetingoftheSocietyforRiskAnalysis,NewOrleans,La.,

December10,2002.

Slovic,P.,M.Finucane,E.Peters,andD.G.MacGregor,2002,"The AffectHeuristic."InT.Gilovich,D.Griffin,andD.Kahneman,eds., 2002.

Slovic,P.,B.Fischhoff,andS.Lichtenstein,1976,"CognitiveProcesses andSocietalRiskTaking."InJohnS.CarrollandJohnW.Payne,eds., Cognition and Social Behavior. Hillsdale,N.J.:LawrenceErlbaum.

у1977,"BehavioralDecisionTheory."Annual Review of Psychology

28:1-39.

Slovic,Р.,В.Fischhoff,S.Lichtenstein,B.Corrigan,andB.Combs,1977, "PreferenceforInsuringAgainstProbableSmallLosses:Implications fortheTheoryandPracticeofInsurance."Journal of Risk and Insurance 44:237-258.ReprintedinP.Slovic,ed.,The Perception of Risk. London:Earthscan.

Slovic,Paul,1987,"PerceptionofRisk."Science 236:280-285.

,2001,The Perception of Risk. London:Earthscan.

Sniezek,J.A.,andR.A.Henry,1989,"AccuracyandConfidencein

GroupJudgement."Organizational Behavior and Human Decision

Processes 43(11):1-28..1

Sniezek,J.A.,andT.Buckley,1993,"DecisionErrorsMadebyIndividualsandGroups."InN.J.Castellan,ed.,Individual and Group Decision Making. Hillsdale,N.J.:LawrenceErlbaum.

Snyder,A.W.,2001,"ParadoxoftheSavantMind."Nature 413:251-252.

SnyderA.W.E.Mulcahy,J.L.Taylor,D.J.Mitchell,P.Sachdev,and S.C.Gandevia,2003,"Savant-likeSkillsExposedinNormalPeopleby

1SuppressionoftheLeftFronto-temporalLobe.Journal of Integrative Neuroscience 2:149-158.

Soll,J.В.,1996,"DeterminantsofOverconfidenceandMiscalibration: TheRolesofRandomErrorandEcologicalStructure."Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 65:117-137.

Перейти на страницу:
На этой странице вы можете бесплатно читать книгу Черный лебедь. Под знаком непредсказуемости - Нассим Талеб.
Комментарии